Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Romney's Real Problem

What? Me worry?
Romney may well win the Republican nomination for president. If he does, I predict he'll have an uphill go of it. If he wins, it won't be by much and it's not because enough people don't dislike President Obama.

It will be because most of us will be too busy holding our nose while voting for another "moderate" just because the country club Republicans have decided he can get the moderate vote. They've bought whole hog into the idea that the moderates will only vote for moderates.  Au' contraire.

Moderates sit on the fence and tumble right or left depending on who does a better job of telling them what they think. A conservative can do that just as easily as a liberal and probably more easily since more than 65% of people call themselves conservatives. Ronald Reagan did it in 1980 and again in 84 and swept the country. Bush sr. managed one term on Reagan's coattails, then lost. Dole lost, then Bush jr. pulled off a squeaker. McCain lost.

Now it's Romney's turn according to the big boys in the Republican party. The problem is, taking turns in presidential politics is a sure way to lose.

What's going to make it tough for Mittens is this. Most conservatives dislike the Obama administration so much they'd vote for the Budweiser Clydesdales over President Obama if that's the only choice they have/ But as for getting out and getting excited over this candidate?  Ain't gonna happen, just like it didn't happen for John McCain.  At least McCain had the good sense to select Sarah Palin for a running mate. I doubt Romney will choose so well. He's heavily on a conservative gimme' so he's not really courting us anymore.counting

As a result, most conservatives will simply sit on their hands if Romney is the candidate. Oh, they'll cast their good soldier votes for Romney, but they won't swell the hallelujah chorus and that chorus is what sells the moderates. Obama has a regular choir behind him, creating the illusion of massive support. Against that cacophony, Romney brings lackluster conservative support to his battle for the confused middle of the roaders. It's kind of like the Mormon Tabernacle Choir vs. the Wharvey Gals, only the choir won't be singing behind their homeboy.

I fear this is NOT going to turn out well!

Just sayin'

Tom

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